Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.008332 0.009861 0.011710 0.014150 0.017343 0.021469 0.027355
2025-03-30 0.006156 0.007855 0.010147 0.013585 0.018842 0.027023 0.041791
2025-04-06 0.005062 0.006773 0.009251 0.013310 0.020265 0.032822 0.060774
2025-04-13 0.004474 0.006220 0.008902 0.013639 0.022643 0.041421 0.093914
2025-04-20 0.004135 0.005949 0.008890 0.014472 0.026236 0.054887 0.160530
2025-04-27 0.003818 0.005650 0.008750 0.015009 0.029468 0.070339 0.275128
2025-05-04 0.003485 0.005266 0.008384 0.014986 0.031428 0.084341 0.446030
2025-05-11 0.003209 0.004938 0.008056 0.014947 0.033353 0.100715 0.762137
2025-05-18 0.002937 0.004582 0.007616 0.014551 0.034139 0.114093 1.245973
2025-05-25 0.002667 0.004200 0.007072 0.013792 0.033549 0.121052 1.831057
2025-06-01 0.002454 0.003902 0.006657 0.013256 0.033478 0.131291 3.016855
2025-06-08 0.002354 0.003800 0.006620 0.013648 0.036757 0.167727 10.833334
2025-06-15 0.002207 0.003613 0.006418 0.013665 0.039156 0.209356 96.017393
2025-06-22 0.002031 0.003353 0.006031 0.013119 0.039202 0.235153 9982.767433
2025-06-29 0.001896 0.003162 0.005769 0.012856 0.040353 0.279481 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001816 0.003070 0.005711 0.013171 0.044410 0.386972 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001772 0.003044 0.005802 0.013965 0.051714 0.635713 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001714 0.002984 0.005800 0.014475 0.058246 1.024980 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001634 0.002869 0.005650 0.014454 0.061680 1.456444 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001560 0.002761 0.005506 0.014417 0.065151 2.137089 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001477 0.002627 0.005281 0.014040 0.065907 2.767955 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001385 0.002470 0.004980 0.013316 0.063474 2.966627 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001310 0.002342 0.004745 0.012805 0.062481 3.475189 NaN